Now every adversary and terrorist group in the world can easily access war markets that are far more advanced than what the DOD ginned up two decades ago. What makes Polymarket’s entrance into warfare so troubling is not just potential insider trading from users like “magamyman.” If governments are eyeing Polymarket for signs of an impending attack, they can also be led astray. A government or another sophisticated actor wouldn’t need to spend much money to massively swing the Polymarket odds on whether a Gulf state will imminently strike Iran—breeding panic and paranoia. More fundamentally, prediction markets risk warping the basic incentives of war, Goldenberg said. He gave the example of a Ukrainian military commander making less than $1,000 a month, who could place bets that go against his own military’s objective. “Maybe you choose to retreat a day early because you can double, triple, or quadruple your money and then send that back to your family,” he said.
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圖像加註文字，2019年至2020年的抗議活動，是香港歷來規模最大的示威之一。去年12月，劉珈汶表示，其鄰居還收到用她為製作對象的偽造色情照片，這是她離港後遭遇的最新恐嚇手段。
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总的来说，2024年至今，AI算力基建与HBM技术革命成为新引擎，直接改写了传统周期逻辑。
这种受围心态一直延续到了今天的伊朗伊斯兰共和国。，详情可参考新收录的资料